Belinda Bencic vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Belinda Bencic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 4 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 20/49 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 0, Rybakina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2025
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2021
Chicago 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 29, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | +4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bencic's 60%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | L 46 36 | W 62 75 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | W 36 64 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 64 75 | W 76 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 26 61 62 | W 62 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 64 57 36 | W 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 36 60 63 | L |
| Taylor Townsend | W 67 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Lois Boisson | L | W 64 16 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–72 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 83% |
| Sets won | 69% | 74% |
| Games won | 57% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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