Belinda Bencic vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Belinda Bencic and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Belinda Bencic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 4 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 0, Rybakina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2025
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2021
Chicago 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 29, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | +0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rybakina's 50%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 67 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 36 46 | W 57 62 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | L 57 46 |
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | L 67 16 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 60 | W 61 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | W 62 64 |
| Katie Boulter | W 60 75 | L 57 62 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 46 06 | L 62 46 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 64 75 | L 63 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–70 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 81% |
| Sets won | 70% | 73% |
| Games won | 58% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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