Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทBeatriz Haddad Maia
#154 ยท 30 yrs ยท Left-Handed
9w4 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#32 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Leylah Fernandez have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2โ2. Across all meetings Maia has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Beatriz Haddad Maia won at San Diego Open - San Diego (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Fernandez
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Leylah Fernandez are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 9, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 5, 2022
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ3 | 4โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maia's 13%).
| Opponent | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | L 67 36 | W 62 62 |
| Janice Tjen | L 06 16 | L 16 67 |
| Katie Boulter | L 46 46 | W 67 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 36 26 | L 46 46 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 67 46 | W 61 75 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 26 57 | L 16 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท 2nd Round
Apr 29
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 27โ51 matches
| Metric | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 49% |
| Sets won | 33% | 49% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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