Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#154 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
9w4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Daria Kasatkina have met 4 times since 2023; Beatriz Haddad Maia leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Maia leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Maia leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Maia has taken 7 sets to Kasatkina's 3. Their most recent meeting: Beatriz Haddad Maia won at Korea Open - Seoul (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 2, Kasatkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Beatriz Haddad Maia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 22, 2024
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · Final
Feb 10, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 28, 2023
WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 15, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -5.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Maia's 50%).
| Opponent | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | L 62 67 36 |
| Janice Tjen | L 06 16 | W 67 61 64 |
| Laura Pigossi | W 61 64 | W 62 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · 2nd Round
Apr 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–35 matches
| Metric | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 43% |
| Sets won | 33% | 47% |
| Games won | 43% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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