Aslan Karatsev vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2019; Aslan Karatsev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nur-Sultan 2 in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Karatsev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 4 sets to Machac's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aslan Karatsev won at Ostrava Challenger (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 36% | 5/14 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 54% | 7/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 57% | 8/14 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aslan Karatsev and Tomas Machac are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2020
Ostrava Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 9, 2020
Nur-Sultan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2019
Nur-Sultan 2
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.95 |
| ROI % | - | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–33 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 48% |
| Sets won | 100% | 48% |
| Games won | 69% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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