Aslan Karatsev vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aslan Karatsev and Novak Djokovic have met 3 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 2 sets to Djokovic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 100% | 1/1 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 80% | 4/5 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 0, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 24, 2021
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 18, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.67 |
| ROI % | - | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–28 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 71% |
| Sets won | 100% | 63% |
| Games won | 69% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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