Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2024; Arthur Fils leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Fils has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fils has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/7 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 25/25 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 1, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 9, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–2 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +17.6% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.94u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Musetti's 50%).
| Opponent | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 16 60 | L 67 57 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 64 | W 63 62 20 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 75 36 75 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 61 67 63 | L 36 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 61 | W 76 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 36 | L 46 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 16 46 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 67 62 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 76 | W 67 75 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 67 64 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–52 matches
| Metric | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 65% |
| Sets won | 70% | 62% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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