Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 · 12:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.25 or shorter, Lorenzo Musetti has won 68 of 76 matches, 89% against a fair-price expectation of 82%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fery | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 17/34 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 13/34 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fery
🏹 Frontrunner
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Fery and Musetti have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fery | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fery | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +24.9% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.22u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fery | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 313 mi · 503 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Fery's 14%).
| Opponent | Fery | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 57 67 | W 75 36 75 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 36 26 | W 76 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 26 46 | L 46 57 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 67 63 46 | W 76 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 46 26 | W 63 63 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 16 36 | W 67 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Final
Aug 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
James Duckworth
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–60 matches
| Metric | Fery | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 65% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |