Anna Kalinskaya vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnna Kalinskaya
#21 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ช๐ธPaula Badosa
#58 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Anna Kalinskaya won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Badosa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Paula Badosa are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Aug 15, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ4 | 10โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 10,936 mi ยท 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 16 26 | L 67 57 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 64 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Emma Navarro | L 46 26 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 63 | L |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | W 26 62 75 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 64 61 | W 75 61 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | W 63 75 |
| Julia Grabher | W 63 63 | L 67 64 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 60% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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