Ann Li vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ann Li
#30 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Ann Li and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2025; Ann Li leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Li has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 13/29 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 24/56 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 8, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -22.5% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.93u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Li's 10%).
| Opponent | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 67 | L 46 64 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 76 46 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 46 36 | W 64 36 64 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 61 46 | L 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 36 | W 57 75 63 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 57 64 36 | L 16 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 16 26 | L 26 26 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | L 26 63 36 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Shuai Zhang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Magdalena Frech
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–56 matches
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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