Ann Li vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ann Li
#31 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleAnn Li and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2025; Ann Li leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Li has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ann Li and Leylah Fernandez are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 8, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.24u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Li's 30%).
| Opponent | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 16 76 16 | W 64 36 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 46 62 63 | L 26 64 36 |
| Talia Gibson | L 36 57 | W 75 60 |
| Alycia Parks | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 75 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 76 46 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 46 36 | W 64 36 64 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 61 46 | L 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 36 | W 57 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Belinda Bencic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Antonia Ruzic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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