Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Montreal in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 3 sets to Etcheverry's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Martin Etcheverry won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 2 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.36 or shorter, Andrey Rublev has won 170 of 236 (72%). The price implied 76%, so Andrey Rublev has fallen 4 points short of it.
At 2.89 or longer, Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won 4 of 29 (14%). The price implied 27%, so Tomas Martin Etcheverry has fallen 13 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Andrey Rublev meet in the first round of the Rolex Paris Masters on November 2 on hard court. Etcheverry, ranked 29th, arrives off a six-match losing streak and has won just three of his last ten matches. Rublev sits at 22nd in the rankings and is on a four-match slide of his own, though he has been more consistent over a longer sample.
The two players are level at 1-1 in head-to-head play. Recent common opponents paint a mixed picture: Rublev defeated Kyrian Jacquet, Lorenzo Sonego, and Stefanos Tsitsipas while Etcheverry lost to all three, but Etcheverry beat both Vit Kopriva and Zizou Bergs in matches where Rublev fell short. On hard court, Rublev has posted a 45% win rate compared to Etcheverry's 35%, though neither player has found consistent rhythm lately.
Etcheverry generates heavy groundstroke power and relies on pace to dictate points from the baseline. Rublev depends on serve accuracy and a quick transition game to dominate rallies early. Etcheverry must neutralize Rublev's first serve and avoid extended baseline exchanges where momentum can shift rapidly, while Rublev needs to capitalize on his service games and avoid extended rallies that allow Etcheverry to find his rhythm.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 17/27 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 50% | 25/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Martin Etcheverry 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Etcheverry
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,835 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -36.2% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.43u | -5.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 5 |
| Events | 5 | 5 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,723 mi · 10,820 km | 7,153 mi · 11,511 km |
| Route | CHN → KAZ → AUT → FRA | JPN → CHN → KAZ → AUT → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Etcheverry's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 57 26 | L 76 67 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 36 46 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 76 61 | L 26 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 64 64 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 63 64 60 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | W 62 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 63 36 105 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 36 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 27
Adrian Mannarino
Almaty Open - Almaty · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Matteo Berrettini
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 26
Mattia Bellucci
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round
Oct 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–59 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 51% |
| Sets won | 57% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |