Andrey Rublev vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Taro Daniel have met 5 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Seville in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Daniel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 22, 2022
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
May 29, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8, 2016
Seville
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Daniel's 43%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 76 61 | W 64 36 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | L 36 76 26 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | L 76 57 67 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 61 64 | W 64 61 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | W 63 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | L 64 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–61 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.