Andrey Rublev vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Taro Daniel have met 5 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Seville in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Daniel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 22, 2022
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
May 29, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8, 2016
Seville
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +12.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Rublev and Daniel posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | W 61 64 | W 64 61 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | W 63 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | L 64 26 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | W 36 64 63 |
| Coleman Wong | W 26 64 63 46 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–56 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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