Andrey Rublev vs Otto VirtanenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Otto Virtanen have met 1 time since 2026; Andrey Rublev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 3 sets to Virtanen's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Virtanen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Otto Virtanen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 27/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 41% | 25/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 51% | 23/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 42% | 16/38 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 63% | 27/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Virtanen
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 31, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Virtanen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Otto Virtanen | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -3.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Virtanen's 20%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 26 46 46 | L 67 75 57 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | L 26 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | W 64 36 67 62 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tiago Pereira
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Lucas Catarina
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jack Pinnington Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Ugo Blanchet
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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