Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd HarrisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Lloyd Harris have met 4 times since 2020; Andrey Rublev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2020 on hard. On grass courts Rublev leads 2–0. Rublev has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 11 sets to Harris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Lloyd Harris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 51% | 23/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Harris 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 18, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Lloyd Harris | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 84% | 26/31 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 52% | 16/31 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 16% | 5/31 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 7% | 2/31 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 25–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +13.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +4.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 14 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Harris's 17%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 76 36 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 75 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 76 67 63 | L 63 06 36 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexis Galarneau
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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