Andrey Rublev vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca have met 1 time since 2025; Joao Fonseca leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 0 sets to Fonseca's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fonseca's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | L 36 36 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 76 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | W 61 75 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 46 36 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 75 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | L 63 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 63% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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