Andrey Rublev vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca have met 1 time since 2025; Joao Fonseca leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 0 sets to Fonseca's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fonseca's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 46 76 63 36 67 | L 36 36 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | W 61 75 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 46 36 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 75 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | L 63 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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