Andrey Rublev vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAndrey Rublev
#23 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
10 meetings ยท sets 15โ11
๐ฎ๐นFabio Fognini
Unranked
14wAndrey Rublev and Fabio Fognini have met 10 times since 2015; Andrey Rublev leads 6โ4. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 3โ2. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. Rublev has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 15 sets to Fognini's 11. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Fognini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Fognini
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 23, 2022
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Aug 11, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Feb 7, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Final
Oct 3, 2019
Beijing
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Apr 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Oct 4, 2018
Beijing
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Jul 16, 2017
Umag
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 11, 2015
Barcelona
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | -14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 8 | โ |
| Distance | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 1โ57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 0% |
| Sets won | 58% | 0% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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