Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇺🇸Andre Ilagan

#184 · 25 yrs · L

6wBack after 6w off

1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–5

🇯🇵Rio Noguchi

#218 · 27 yrs · R

5wBack after 5w off

Andre Ilagan and Rio Noguchi have met 3 times since 2025; Rio Noguchi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 3 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Noguchi leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 3 sets to Noguchi's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andre Ilagan won at Newport Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Ilagan	Noguchi
Indicator	Andre Ilagan		Rio Noguchi
Wins in straight sets	63%	25/40	58%	19/33
Wins a set when losing	43%	13/30	37%	10/27
Goes to a deciding set	40%	28/70	40%	24/60
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	53%	18/34	37%	10/27
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	64%	21/33	68%	21/31
Tiebreak sets won	43%	15/35	38%	6/16
Wins after taking set 1	79%	31/39	77%	24/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	64%	25/39	61%	19/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Noguchi 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Ilagan

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Noguchi

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jul 8, 2026

Newport Challenger

G Grass · 1st Round

Ilagan

Jul 8, 2025

Winnipeg Challenger

H Hard · 1st Round

Noguchi

Jan 13, 2025

Nonthaburi 3

H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying

Noguchi

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Ilagan	Noguchi
Outcome	Andre Ilagan		Rio Noguchi
1 or more	100%	10/10	62%	8/13
3 or more	80%	8/10	8%	1/13
5 or more	50%	5/10	8%	1/13
10 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13
15 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13
20 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/13

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Ilagan	Noguchi
W-L	6–5	7–7
Avg odds	2.33	1.93
ROI %	-0.6%	-6.1%
Units P/L	-0.06u	-0.85u

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ilagan's 50%).

Opponent	Ilagan	Noguchi
Yosuke Watanuki	L 67 57	W 64 75
Liam Broady	L 36 67	W 61 63
Fajing Sun	W 63 76	W 76 46 76
Yasutaka Uchiyama	W 67 64 75	W 57 76 63
Jie Cui	L 76 26 46	L 67 67
Hiroki Moriya	W 62 76	W 64 64
Alexis Galarneau	L 36 26	L 46 26
Jake Delaney	W 64 67 76	W 62 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Ilagan

LLLWWLLW

Yosuke Watanuki

Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round

6³7

Jul 20

Colton Smith

Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round

6⁵7

Jul 14

Liam Broady

Newport Challenger · 2nd Round

6²7

Jul 9

Rio Noguchi

Newport Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 8

Alex Rybakov

Newport challenger

Jul 7

Yosuke Watanuki

Cary Challenger · 1st Round

Jun 29

Adam Walton

Tyler Challenger · Final

Jun 7

Karl Poling

Tyler Challenger · Semifinals

76⁸

Jun 6

Noguchi

LWWLWWLL

Charles Broom

Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals

Jul 24

Keegan Rice

Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 23

Braden Shick

Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 20

Mark Lajal

Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals

Jul 17

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 15

Charles Broom

Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 13

Andre Ilagan

Newport Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 8

Alex Martinez

Cary Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 1

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ IlaganNoguchi ahead↓ Noguchi

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–70 matches

Metric	Ilagan	Noguchi
Matches won	57%	55%
Sets won	55%	53%
Games won	52%	51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Ilagan	Noguchi
ATP Challenger Tour	1	2

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Ilagan	Noguchi
Hard	0	2
Grass	1	0

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Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi FAQ

Rio Noguchi leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Ilagan rivalries

More Noguchi rivalries

Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi FAQ

Who leads the Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi head-to-head?

Who won the last Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi match?

How many times have Andre Ilagan and Rio Noguchi played?

Who leads the Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Andre Ilagan and Rio Noguchi last play each other?