Anastasija Sevastova vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#840 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
39w2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnastasija Sevastova and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2019 on clay. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasija Sevastova won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/3 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 6/8 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/7 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 3, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.86u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 13
Sinja Kraus
ASB Classic - Auckland · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–66 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 77% |
| Sets won | 41% | 69% |
| Games won | 45% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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