Anastasija Sevastova vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#589 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
38w2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasija Sevastova and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2019 on clay. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasija Sevastova won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 5/8 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 3, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 11 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Sevastova and Pegula posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Birrell | W 63 76 | L 61 36 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 36 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 24
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–76 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 75% |
| Sets won | 48% | 66% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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