Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2024; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 20%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | L 36 36 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 26 63 | W 67 62 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 61 16 | L 36 26 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L | L 26 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 57 64 62 | W 06 63 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 64 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 51% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.