Amanda Anisimova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Amanda Anisimova
#17 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Amanda Anisimova and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2022; Amanda Anisimova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Anisimova leads 2–0. Anisimova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 6 sets to Osaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Amanda Anisimova won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 15/24 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 1, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
May 23, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -2.6% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.23u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Anisimova and Osaka posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 16 | L 16 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 64 | W 62 57 61 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 63 | W |
| Alexandra Eala | W 46 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 63 36 | W 62 76 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 63 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 61 63 | W 63 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 67 64 62 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Potapova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lilli Tagger
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ashlyn Krueger
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–44 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 75% |
| Sets won | 61% | 68% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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