Amanda Anisimova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Amanda Anisimova
#10 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Amanda Anisimova and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2022; Amanda Anisimova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Anisimova leads 2–0. Anisimova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 6 sets to Osaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Amanda Anisimova won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 19/45 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 14/31 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 1, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
May 23, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.09u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Anisimova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Osaka's 50%).
| Opponent | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | W 61 64 | L 67 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 46 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 16 | L 64 67 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 16 62 64 | L 67 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 63 36 | W 62 76 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 63 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 61 63 | W 63 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 67 64 62 | L 26 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Sofia Kenin
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–45 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 73% |
| Sets won | 64% | 67% |
| Games won | 57% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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