Alina Charaeva vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Alina Charaeva
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
51 meeting · sets 2–1
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Alina Charaeva and Elena Rybakina have met 1 time since 2026; Alina Charaeva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Charaeva has taken 2 sets to Rybakina's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alina Charaeva won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Charaeva | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Charaeva | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 23/36 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 27/37 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Charaeva 0, Rybakina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Charaeva
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alina Charaeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 3, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Charaeva | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Charaeva | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.83 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +81.1% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | +12.16u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Charaeva's 50%).
| Opponent | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 16 62 46 | W 36 61 64 |
| Sonay Kartal | W 64 61 | W |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 75 62 | W 76 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 64 06 46 | W 63 57 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 26 57 | L 57 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 62 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 36 76 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Elena Rybakina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yuliia Starodubtseva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sofia Kenin
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Elina Avanesyan
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–72 matches
| Metric | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 83% |
| Sets won | 55% | 74% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Charaeva | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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