Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAliaksandra Sasnovich and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jessica Pegula are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2024
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 1, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Sasnovich's 13%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | L 64 46 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Clara Tauson | W 62 63 | W 63 26 64 |
| Varvara Gracheva | L 46 06 | W 64 60 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 62 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–66 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 77% |
| Sets won | 54% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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