Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2024
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 1, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Sasnovich's 11%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | W 62 46 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | L 64 46 06 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 57 36 | W 64 60 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 26 | L 16 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Clara Tauson | W 62 63 | W 63 26 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 62 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–76 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 75% |
| Sets won | 39% | 66% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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