Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–8
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elise Mertens have met 6 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 7 sets to Mertens's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 2, Mertens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 1, 2021
BJK Cup Finals RR: BLR vs BEL
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 16, 2021
BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2020
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 26, 2018
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -24.6% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.44u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sasnovich's 10%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Elvina Kalieva | L 36 67 | W 62 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 26 26 | L 36 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 75 60 | L 46 06 |
| Maria Timofeeva | L 36 46 | W 62 76 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Bianca Andreescu | L 36 67 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 63 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 16 63 60 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 46 76 63 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 46 | L 57 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–57 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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