Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w6 meetings · sets 7–8
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elise Mertens have met 6 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 7 sets to Mertens's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 2, Mertens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 1, 2021
BJK Cup Finals RR: BLR vs BEL
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 16, 2021
BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2020
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 26, 2018
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sasnovich's 10%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 16 64 62 | L 16 26 |
| Maria Timofeeva | L 36 46 | W 26 63 60 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Bianca Andreescu | L 36 67 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 63 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 16 63 60 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 46 76 63 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 46 | L 57 62 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 26 46 | L 61 36 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–49 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 59% |
| Sets won | 39% | 58% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.