Alexei Popyrin vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlexei Popyrin
#130 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 4โ4

๐จ๐ฟTomas Machac
#58 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Alexei Popyrin and Tomas Machac have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2โ2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Machac's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
๐ค Servebot
Machac
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 12, 2024
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ5 | 0โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 145 mi ยท 233 km | 313 mi ยท 503 km |
| Route | CAN | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Popyrin and Machac posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 46 36 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 16 76 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 75 36 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ35 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 52% |
| Sets won | 35% | 52% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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