Alexei Popyrin vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Tomas Machac have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Machac's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 12/33 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 12, 2024
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard · Rubber 2
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Popyrin's 20%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 46 67 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 36 63 62 64 | W 64 64 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 16 76 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 75 36 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–38 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 48% |
| Sets won | 36% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.