Alexei Popyrin vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlexei Popyrin
#129 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6w4 meetings ยท sets 5โ9

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#8 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
TitleAlexei Popyrin and Novak Djokovic have met 4 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Djokovic's 9. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
๐ค Servebot
Djokovic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Novak Djokovic are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Jan 17, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ4 | 5โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | โ | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Popyrin's 33%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 62 67 67 26 | W 76 61 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 64 76 | W 63 62 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | L 62 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 36 63 75 | W 46 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ37 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 71% |
| Sets won | 36% | 63% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.