Alexei Popyrin vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlexei Popyrin
#130 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 3โ6

๐ญ๐ทMarin Cilic
#81 ยท 37 yrs ยท R
Alexei Popyrin and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2021; Marin Cilic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Cilic leads 3โ1. Cilic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Cilic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
๐ค Servebot
Cilic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Marin Cilic are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 26, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 27, 2021
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ5 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 145 mi ยท 233 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Popyrin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (17% vs Cilic's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 75 26 26 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | L 67 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 46 46 63 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ44 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 48% |
| Sets won | 35% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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