Alexei Popyrin vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlexei Popyrin
#130 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 4โ10
๐ฆ๐บJohn Millman
Unranked
137w3Alexei Popyrin and John Millman have met 5 times since 2018; John Millman leads 5โ0. Their first meeting came at Sydney in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Millman leads 3โ0. On clay courts Millman leads 2โ0. Millman has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Millman's 10. Their most recent meeting: John Millman won at Atlanta (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Millman 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
๐ค Servebot
Millman
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexei Popyrin.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2022
Atlanta
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Apr 26, 2021
Munich
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Oct 9, 2018
Stockholm
H Hard ยท Round of 32
May 9, 2018
Aix en Provence
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Jan 9, 2018
Sydney
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | - |
| ROI % | -33.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 145 mi ยท 233 km | โ |
| Route | CAN | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Alex Molcan
Australian Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg ยท Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open ยท Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 ยท Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 ยท Round of 32
Jan 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ35 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | - |
| Sets won | 35% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 4 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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