Alexei Popyrin vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Ilya Ivashka have met 3 times since 2020; Ilya Ivashka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Ivashka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 97% | 28/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | +9.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +1.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–45 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 71% |
| Sets won | 36% | 64% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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