Alexei Popyrin vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Ilya Ivashka have met 3 times since 2020; Ilya Ivashka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Ivashka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexei Popyrin.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Popyrin and Ivashka posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Mubarak Shannan Zayid | W 60 62 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–35 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 61% |
| Sets won | 35% | 58% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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