Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov have met 5 times since 2021; Alexei Popyrin leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Murray River Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Popyrin leads 3–2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 9 sets to Dimitrov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Dimitrov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 8, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 5, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popyrin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dimitrov's 40%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 63 | L 67 64 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 67 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–37 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 42% |
| Sets won | 36% | 46% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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