Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Murray River Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 6 sets to Dimitrov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 · 4:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.46 or shorter, Grigor Dimitrov has won 82 of 114 matches, 72% against a fair-price expectation of 73%.
Priced around 2.66 or longer, Alexei Popyrin has won 21 of 53 matches, 40% against a fair-price expectation of 29%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Dimitrov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Grigor Dimitrov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 5, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -0.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popyrin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dimitrov's 40%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 63 | L 67 64 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 67 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–35 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 41% |
| Sets won | 35% | 45% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |