Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Casper Ruud have met 3 times since 2025; Casper Ruud leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–1. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Ruud's 5. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Ruud 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2026
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 7, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Popyrin's 30%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 63 | W 76 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | W 61 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 63 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 46 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 57 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 64 64 36 75 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 36 46 | L 64 26 26 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 36 67 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–52 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 69% |
| Sets won | 35% | 64% |
| Games won | 47% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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