Alexei Popyrin vs Andrea PellegrinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Andrea Pellegrino have met 4 times since 2018; Alexei Popyrin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cherbourg in 2018 on hard. On clay courts Popyrin leads 2–1. Popyrin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 6 sets to Pellegrino's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Pellegrino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Andrea Pellegrino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 12/33 | 51% | 27/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 63% | 15/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Pellegrino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexei Popyrin.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 14, 2022
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 16, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2018
Cherbourg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Pellegrino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Andrea Pellegrino | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -3.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Popyrin's 20%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L | W 61 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 75 63 | L 46 64 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 76 61 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 06 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–55 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 55% |
| Sets won | 36% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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