Alexei Popyrin vs Andrea PellegrinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Andrea Pellegrino have met 4 times since 2018; Alexei Popyrin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cherbourg in 2018 on hard. On clay courts Popyrin leads 2–1. Popyrin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 6 sets to Pellegrino's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Pellegrino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Andrea Pellegrino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Pellegrino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 14, 2022
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 16, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2018
Cherbourg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Pellegrino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Andrea Pellegrino | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +11.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +1.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Popyrin and Pellegrino posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 75 63 | L 46 64 57 |
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | L 26 63 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 76 61 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 06 67 |
| Mubarak Shannan Zayid | W 60 62 | W 60 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–58 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 59% |
| Sets won | 35% | 55% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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