Alexandra Eala vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Naomi Osaka have met 1 time since 2026; Alexandra Eala leads 1–0. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | +2.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Osaka posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | L 76 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | W 61 62 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 16 75 63 | W 62 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 06 26 | L 67 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | L 26 16 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 36 | W 62 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 60 36 64 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 72% |
| Sets won | 60% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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