Alexandra Eala vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ญAlexandra Eala
#19 ยท 21 yrs ยท Left-Handed
3w4 meetings ยท sets 0โ8

๐ฉ๐ชTatjana Maria
#71 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4TitleAlexandra Eala and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2023; Tatjana Maria leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Thailand Open - Hua Hin in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Maria leads 3โ0. Maria has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Eala has taken 0 sets to Maria's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 26/39 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 0, Maria 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
๐น Frontrunner
Maria
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2023
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jan 31, 2023
Thailand Open - Hua Hin
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ4 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.77u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | SGP | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Maria posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 64 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Iva Jovic | L 57 63 57 | L 16 26 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 57 63 75 | L 76 26 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 57 | W 46 61 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 46 75 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 57 64 | L 64 67 16 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 64 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 67 16 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Oleksandra Oliynykova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton ยท Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ64 matches
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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