Alexandra Eala vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title44 meetings · sets 0–8
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2023; Tatjana Maria leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Thailand Open - Hua Hin in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Maria leads 3–0. Maria has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Eala has taken 0 sets to Maria's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 0, Maria 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2023
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2023
Thailand Open - Hua Hin
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Maria posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 46 75 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 57 64 | L 64 67 16 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 64 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 26 | L 16 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 67 16 | W 63 75 |
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 57 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 76 57 06 |
| Janice Tjen | L 46 16 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 50% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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