Alexandra Eala vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title42 meetings · sets 3–3
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Eala leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Eala has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 0, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 3, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Mar 27, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 12 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Eala's 50%).
| Opponent | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 06 26 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | W 75 46 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | W 64 26 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 75 64 | W 62 46 75 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | W 63 76 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 60 36 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 76 | W 62 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 62 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 26 | W 46 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 75–76 matches
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 75% |
| Sets won | 60% | 66% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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