Alexandra Eala vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#19 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAlexandra Eala and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Eala leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Eala has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 26/39 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 0, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 3, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Mar 27, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.77u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SGP | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Eala's 70%).
| Opponent | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | W 75 64 | W 63 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 57 63 57 | W 46 63 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 76 | W 16 64 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W | W 63 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | W 75 46 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | W 64 26 76 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | W 63 76 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 60 36 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Oleksandra Oliynykova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–66 matches
| Metric | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 77% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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