Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ญAlexandra Eala
#18 ยท 21 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title42 meetings ยท sets 3โ2

๐ฎ๐นJasmine Paolini
#20 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
8wAlexandra Eala and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Eala has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Paolini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
๐น Frontrunner
Paolini
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Alexandra Eala and Jasmine Paolini are ๐น Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 274 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 6, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 4th Round
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19โ6 | 4โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | โ |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | L 76 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 46 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 26 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 64 | W 36 64 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 62 | W 61 62 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 62 26 67 | W 76 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 64 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 36 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 26 | L 26 67 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 60 62 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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