Alexandra Eala vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ญAlexandra Eala
#18 ยท 21 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title43 meetings ยท sets 0โ6

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir in 2023 on hard. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Eala has taken 0 sets to Mertens's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 0, Mertens 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
๐น Frontrunner
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 17, 2023
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19โ6 | 9โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Eala and Mertens posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 57 63 75 | W 16 64 62 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 16 75 63 | W 61 46 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 26 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 62 | L 16 26 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | L 36 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 46 76 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | W 76 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 67 63 63 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | W 63 63 | W 62 61 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 06 26 | L 61 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 59% |
| Sets won | 60% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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