Alexander Zverev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Frances Tiafoe have met 9 times since 2017; Alexander Zverev leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Zverev leads 6–1. Zverev has won the last 7 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zverev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 20 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 4, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 22, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 3, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 31, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Oct 2, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 31, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 6, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | +37.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +7.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tiafoe's 60%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | W 62 63 | L 36 61 06 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 57 64 | W 75 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 75 | W 76 75 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 67 46 | L 57 64 67 |
| Learner Tien | W 63 67 61 76 | W 64 46 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 76 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 57 64 | W 57 62 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 26 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–80 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 66% |
| Sets won | 68% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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