Alexander Bublik vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2024; Alexander Bublik leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. Bublik has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 13/46 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 13/26 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,927 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -20.2% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.22u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Machac posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 36 | L 46 64 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 64 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 26 64 61 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 64 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 76 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | L 06 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 48% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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