Alexander Bublik vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2020; Marin Cilic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cilic leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Cilic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2022
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 10, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Bublik and Cilic posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 26 64 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | W 63 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 75 26 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 75 76 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | W 75 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | L 67 36 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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