Alexander Bublik vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2020; Marin Cilic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cilic leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Cilic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2022
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 10, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cilic's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 75 26 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 75 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | W 75 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | L 67 36 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | L 57 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 48% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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