Alexander Bublik vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2020; Alexander Bublik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to McDonald's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 28, 2020
Astana Open - Nur-Sultan
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 38%).
| Opponent | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 76 67 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | L 62 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | L 57 63 57 | W 62 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 26 26 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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