Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Sonego have met 5 times since 2018; Lorenzo Sonego leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Bratislava in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–1. Sonego has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sonego leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 9. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Moselle Open - Metz (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Sonego 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Final
Jun 24, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 8, 2018
Bratislava
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 75 57 26 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | L 36 26 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | W 61 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | W 63 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | L 67 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | L 46 61 57 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 63 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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