Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Sonego have met 5 times since 2018; Lorenzo Sonego leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Bratislava in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 2–1. Sonego has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sonego leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 9. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Moselle Open - Metz (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Sonego 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Final
Jun 24, 2021
Nature Valley International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 8, 2018
Bratislava
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 36 26 | W 61 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | W 63 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | L 67 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | L 46 61 57 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 67 63 67 61 | L 36 26 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 63 | L 36 16 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | L 36 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 57% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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