Alexander Bublik vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w3 meetings ยท sets 2โ5

๐ท๐บKaren Khachanov
#49 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2020; Karen Khachanov leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Khachanov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Khachanov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass ยท Semifinals
Aug 23, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 2โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 20%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | L 64 67 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 57 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 57 64 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 76 46 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | L 36 75 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 62 46 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 76 | L 67 63 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 26 26 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 57% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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