Alexander Bublik vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2020; Karen Khachanov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 2–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Khachanov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Semifinals
Aug 23, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Khachanov's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | W 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 67 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 46 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | W 63 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | L 64 67 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 57 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 57 64 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 76 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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