Alexander Bublik vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Grigor Dimitrov have met 6 times since 2019; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 3–2. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 7 sets to Dimitrov's 8. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Dimitrov 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Grigor Dimitrov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2023
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 20, 2019
Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Dimitrov's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | L 46 46 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | L 63 36 26 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 61 36 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 46 62 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 63 64 76 | L 36 67 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 76 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 42% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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