Alexander Bublik vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#22 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ3

๐ซ๐ทArthur Rinderknech
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
4wAlexander Bublik and Arthur Rinderknech have met 3 times since 2022; Alexander Bublik leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Bublik leads 2โ0. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Rinderknech's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Rinderknech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Rinderknech
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Arthur Rinderknech are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2026
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 16, 2022
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 3โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -5.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km | โ |
| Route | GBR โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rinderknech's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | L 67 75 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | L 64 67 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | L 67 63 36 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 76 | W 76 62 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | W |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 67 76 810 |
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | W 75 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 67 62 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | L 36 63 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | L 46 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 42% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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