Alex Michelsen vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2024; Nuno Borges leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Borges's 4. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2025
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2024
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Borges's 60%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | L 36 63 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 63 57 36 67 | L 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 64 64 | L 36 76 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 46 16 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 61 | W 64 75 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 62 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 57 64 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 48% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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