Alex Michelsen vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2024; Nuno Borges leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Borges's 4. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2025
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2024
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Borges posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 57 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 61 | W 64 75 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 62 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 57 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 67 67 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | L 16 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 67 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 67 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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