Alex Michelsen vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci have met 2 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–0. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Bellucci's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 2, Bellucci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 31, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Bellucci's 22%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 75 57 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 16 76 810 | L 57 62 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 57 36 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | W 63 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 67 76 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | W 62 67 61 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | L 57 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | L 64 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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