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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3
2–0

2 meetings · sets 4–0

Mattia Bellucci

🇮🇹Mattia Bellucci

#86 · 25 yrs · L

Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci have met 2 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–0. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Bellucci's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenBellucci
Wins in straight sets69%71%
Wins a set when losing33%33%
Goes to a deciding set32%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%56%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%61%
Tiebreak sets won55%48%
Wins after taking set 1100%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%71%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 2, Bellucci 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Bellucci

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Mar 19, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 1st Round

62
61
Michelsen

Jul 31, 2024

Citi Open - Washington

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
761
Michelsen

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMichelsenBellucci
1 or more95%100%
3 or more85%100%
5 or more65%94%
10 or more20%29%
15 or more5%0%
20 or more5%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenBellucci
W-L13–610–7
Avg odds1.812.05
ROI %-1.6%-10.8%
Units P/L-0.31u-1.84u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenBellucci
Countries21
Events23
Matches210
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km927 mi · 1,492 km
RouteJPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bellucci's 30%).

OpponentMichelsenBellucci
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
46
46
L
67
46
Lloyd Harris
W
63
63
L
61
36
67
Adam Walton
L
67
46
W
75
62
Frances Tiafoe
L
75
63
57
36
67
L
36
46
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
76
64
64
W
57
62
63
Taylor Fritz
L
36
46
L
06
16
16
Brandon Nakashima
W
63
64
64
L
36
46
Sebastian Baez
W
75
63
L
57
36
Ugo Humbert
W
75
67
76
L
67
76
46
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
L
46
46
W
62
67
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Bellucci
LWWLWWWW
L

Yi Zhou

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

46
63
647

Oct 7

W

Alexandre Muller

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying

64
62

Oct 6

W

Elias Ymer

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying

46
75
763

Oct 5

L

Lloyd Harris

Jingshan Challenger · Final

61
36
647

Oct 4

W

Yanki Erel

Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals

64
64

Oct 3

W

Adam Walton

Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round

75
62

Oct 1

W

Alexandre Muller

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round

60
63

Sep 30

W

Keisuke Saitoh

Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

62
62

Sep 29

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenMichelsen ahead↓ Bellucci

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches

MetricMichelsenBellucci
Matches won60%55%
Sets won60%53%
Games won53%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenBellucci
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenBellucci
Hard20

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Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci FAQ

Alex Michelsen leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.