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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3
1–2

3 meetings · sets 5–5

Karen Khachanov

🇷🇺Karen Khachanov

#27 · 30 yrs · R

Alex Michelsen and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2025; Karen Khachanov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 2–1. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 5 sets to Khachanov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenKhachanov
Wins in straight sets69%50%
Wins a set when losing33%47%
Goes to a deciding set32%49%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%21%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%71%
Tiebreak sets won55%26%
Wins after taking set 1100%71%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%47%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Khachanov 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Khachanov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 20, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 1st Round

64
46
36
75
36
Khachanov

Aug 4, 2025

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · Quarterfinals

46
637
Khachanov

Jan 18, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
765
62
Michelsen

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMichelsenKhachanov
1 or more95%100%
3 or more85%100%
5 or more65%80%
10 or more20%33%
15 or more5%7%
20 or more5%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenKhachanov
W-L13–68–5
Avg odds1.811.94
ROI %-1.6%+12.5%
Units P/L-0.31u+1.62u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenKhachanov
Countries21
Events22
Matches25
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km663 mi · 1,067 km
RouteJPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Khachanov posted a 60% win rate.

OpponentMichelsenKhachanov
Adrian Mannarino
W
64
76
W
62
64
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
46
46
W
57
64
64
Carlos Alcaraz
L
67
64
16
L
76
46
36
Learner Tien
L
46
63
16
W
75
46
67
61
64
Jesper de Jong
W
64
64
L
57
75
26
76
26
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
61
36
61
L
64
67
36
Adam Walton
L
67
46
W
62
63
Nishesh Basavareddy
W
76
63
36
63
W
61
64
63
Aleksandr Shevchenko
W
62
64
62
W
64
64
Ugo Humbert
W
75
67
76
L
36
63
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Khachanov
WWLWWLWW
W

Adrian Mannarino

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

62
64

Oct 11

W

Arthur Fery

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

766
657
762

Oct 9

L

Hubert Hurkacz

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

627
26

Oct 4

W

Alex Molcan

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

75
63

Oct 2

W

Felix Auger-Aliassime

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

63
63

Sep 30

L

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
677
67

Sep 11

W

Alexander Blockx

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

Sep 10

W

Alexander Blockx

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

Sep 9

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenKhachanov ahead↓ Khachanov

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–63 matches

MetricMichelsenKhachanov
Matches won60%53%
Sets won60%54%
Games won53%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenKhachanov
Grand Slam11
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenKhachanov
Hard12

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Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov FAQ

Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.