Alex Michelsen vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#45 Β· 21 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 5β5

π·πΊKaren Khachanov
#49 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
4Alex Michelsen and Karen Khachanov have met 3 times since 2025; Karen Khachanov leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 2β1. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 5 sets to Khachanov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Khachanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Khachanov
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Aug 4, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12β5 | 2β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Khachanov's 40%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 61 | L 64 67 36 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | W 62 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | L 61 46 46 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | W 61 64 63 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 36 63 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 16 76 810 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | L 57 26 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 36 62 | W 61 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris Β· 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 56% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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