Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 1 time since 2025; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Cerundolo's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -7.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -1.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 60%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 46 | W 76 67 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 64 16 | L 36 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 64 64 | L 36 57 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 61 60 | W 67 64 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | W |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 62 67 62 | W 76 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | W 46 76 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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