Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 2 times since 2026; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2026 on clay. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Struff's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Struff 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | +4.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Struff's 70%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | W 26 63 64 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | L 06 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 36 76 64 |
| Liam Broady | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 57 67 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | W 76 76 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 48% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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