Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 2 times since 2026; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2026 on clay. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Struff's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 21/31 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 15/32 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 27/27 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Struff 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Struff's 40%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 46 | L 36 61 16 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | L 64 46 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 63 64 | L 75 57 64 26 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 64 64 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | L 06 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 36 76 64 |
| Liam Broady | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–62 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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