Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas RuizPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have met 3 times since 2023; Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Canberra in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Ruiz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 3 sets to Ruiz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Llamas Ruiz won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Llamas Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 53% | 24/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Llamas Ruiz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Ruiz
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Dec 31, 2023
Canberra
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | -3.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruiz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bolt's 0%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Harris | L 57 46 | L 67 36 |
| Abedallah Shelbayh | L 26 36 | W 76 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 06 16 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Petr Nesterov
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luca Nardi
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Raul Brancaccio
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Vitaliy Sachko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Alex Bolt
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 66% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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