Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pablo Llamas RuizPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Alejandro Moro Canas
#235 · 25 yrs · R
4w8 meetings · sets 10–9

🇪🇸Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#126 · 23 yrs · R
Alejandro Moro Canas and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have met 8 times since 2022; Alejandro Moro Canas leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Maspalomas Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Canas leads 3–1. Across all meetings Canas has taken 10 sets to Ruiz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moro Canas won at Madrid Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Llamas Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 26/66 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 55% | 26/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 18/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 23/36 | 76% | 29/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moro Canas 2, Llamas Ruiz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🎾 All-Court
Ruiz
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Moro Canas.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Madrid Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 28, 2026
Oeiras 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2025
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2024
Tenerife 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 20, 2023
Pozoblanco Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2023
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 30, 2022
Maspalomas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +3.9% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.54u | -2.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruiz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Canas's 60%).
| Opponent | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 46 76 64 | W 63 75 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | L 67 26 | W 64 62 |
| Daniel Merida | W 62 36 75 | L 16 26 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 76 62 | W 63 61 |
| Henrique Rocha | W 36 64 64 | W 46 63 61 |
| Elmer Moller | W 75 64 | L 67 36 |
| Dali Blanch | L 67 26 | W 61 62 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 57 57 | L 46 67 |
| Luka Mikrut | W 76 67 64 | W 36 75 62 |
| Jacopo Berrettini | L 63 46 16 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Robin Bertrand
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Crawford
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Massimo Giunta
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Harold Mayot
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Francisco Comesana
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Francisco Comesana
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Keegan Rice
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Mark Lajal
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Bruno Kuzuhara
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tristan Boyer
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Zachary Svajda
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Pol Martin Tiffon
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Dan Added
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–67 matches
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 68% |
| Sets won | 54% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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