Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pablo Llamas RuizPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Alejandro Moro Canas
#233 · 25 yrs · R
8 meetings · sets 10–9

🇪🇸Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#144 · 23 yrs · R
Alejandro Moro Canas and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have met 8 times since 2022; Alejandro Moro Canas leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Maspalomas Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Canas leads 3–1. Across all meetings Canas has taken 10 sets to Ruiz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moro Canas won at Madrid Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Llamas Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 27/47 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 32/78 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 21/52 | 53% | 24/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moro Canas 2, Llamas Ruiz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🏹 Frontrunner
Ruiz
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Moro Canas and Pablo Llamas Ruiz are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 280 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Madrid Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 28, 2026
Oeiras 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2025
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2024
Tenerife 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 20, 2023
Pozoblanco Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2023
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 30, 2022
Maspalomas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 23/25 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 17/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 10/25 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–9 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -3.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruiz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Canas's 60%).
| Opponent | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Forejtek | L 76 46 67 | W 76 67 64 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 76 16 16 | W 63 46 63 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 57 57 | L 67 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 46 76 64 | W 63 75 |
| Daniel Merida | W 62 36 75 | L 16 26 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 76 62 | W 63 61 |
| Henrique Rocha | W 36 64 64 | W 46 63 61 |
| Henry Bernet | W 64 61 | W 36 63 76 |
| Dali Blanch | L 67 26 | W 61 62 |
| Luka Mikrut | W 76 67 64 | W 36 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Andrej Martin
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Final
Oct 4
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Petr Nesterov
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luca Nardi
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Raul Brancaccio
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Vitaliy Sachko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Alex Bolt
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–80 matches
| Metric | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 66% |
| Sets won | 55% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Canas | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.